Emerging State Data Paint a Bleak Picture of 2026 Marketplace Enrollment

By Stacey Pogue and Sabrina Corlette

Congress’s failure to extend premium tax credit enhancements led to unprecedented net premium increases in Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplaces in 2026. As a result, fewer people signed up for coverage during the 2026 open enrollment period, and many others “bought down” to less expensive plans that carry higher out-of-pocket costs. However, to more fully understand the impact of federal ACA policy changes, it’s important to look at what consumers did after open enrollment ended.

In a new blog post for the Commonwealth Fund, CHIR’s Stacey Pogue and Sabrina Corlette examine emerging state marketplace data showing that enrollment has continued to decline, with more dramatic drop-offs in coverage once premiums came due.  

You can read the full blog post here.

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